FBC Melgar vs Carlos Stein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 0
MEL
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 0
HUA
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
UTC
1 - 1
MEL
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GAR
3 - 1
MEL
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 2
GAR
34%
28%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SPC
0 - 1
FCS
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 1
BIN
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
FCS
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 3
UNI
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |