Campeonato de Portugal Grupo C. Jor. 24

Fatima vs Ideal analysis

Fatima Ideal
39 ELO 32
4.5% Tilt -13.5%
18720º General ELO ranking 19796º
272º Country ELO ranking 309º
ELO win probability
67.3%
Fatima
18%
Draw
14.7%
Ideal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
Fatima
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.7%
Win probability
Ideal
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Fatima
Ideal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fatima
Fatima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2020
SER
Sertanense
1 - 0
Fatima
FAT
38%
28%
34%
39 39 0 0
16 Feb. 2020
FAT
Fatima
1 - 2
Vitoria de Sernache
VIT
79%
13%
8%
40 27 13 -1
09 Feb. 2020
PRA
Praiense
1 - 1
Fatima
FAT
75%
17%
8%
40 51 11 0
02 Feb. 2020
FAT
Fatima
3 - 3
União Santarém
USA
81%
12%
7%
40 26 14 0
26 Jan. 2020
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
1 - 1
Fatima
FAT
54%
24%
22%
40 43 3 0

Matches

Ideal
Ideal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2020
IDE
Ideal
2 - 1
Oliveira Hospital
OLI
36%
25%
40%
32 36 4 0
16 Feb. 2020
RDA
RD Agueda
2 - 3
Ideal
IDE
65%
21%
15%
31 40 9 +1
12 Feb. 2020
IDE
Ideal
0 - 1
Sertanense
SER
34%
26%
40%
32 38 6 -1
09 Feb. 2020
IDE
Ideal
2 - 2
Marinhense
MAR
32%
24%
44%
32 37 5 0
02 Feb. 2020
OLE
Oleiros
1 - 1
Ideal
IDE
63%
21%
16%
31 41 10 +1
X