FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
PAS
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FIR
0 - 1
FAS
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 0
CHA
79%
16%
6%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 2
FAS
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 1
ALI
30%
27%
44%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
5 - 2
PAS
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
IND
2 - 3
ALI
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 0
FIR
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |