Farnborough vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WHI
3 - 1
FAR
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
FAR
3 - 2
TON
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FAR
3 - 2
DOR
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 1
EBB
27%
23%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 2
STA
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
TON
2 - 1
EAS
21%
24%
56%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
EAS
0 - 1
CAM
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
EAS
3 - 1
EBB
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
WES
3 - 2
EAS
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 1
GOS
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |