Farense vs Estrela Vendas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
FAR
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 1
PIN
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
FAR
9%
19%
71%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 0
MOU
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 2
FAR
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 1
FCC
39%
23%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ORI
2 - 0
EVN
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 2
LUS
34%
22%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 1
EVN
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 3
OLH
14%
22%
64%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -2 |