Farense vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 1
FAR
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 0
SPC
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VSC
1 - 0
FAR
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FAR
3 - 0
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
COV
1 - 0
FAR
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 2
EST
28%
29%
44%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 3
BEN
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
VSC
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
23%
28%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |