Farense vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
FAR
1 - 1
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
RIO
1 - 1
FAR
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
VST
1 - 1
FAR
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
FAR
2 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
SAL
0 - 0
FAR
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1999 |
VIT
4 - 2
BEL
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
BEL
1 - 0
UDL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
BEL
2 - 1
RIO
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
CAM
2 - 1
BEL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |