Farense Sub 23 vs Estoril Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
12º
8º
17
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
BES
2 - 1
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
FAR
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 1
MAF
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
FAR
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 1
SPO
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
EST
5 - 1
SPO
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BES
3 - 1
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |