Falu BS vs FC Järfälla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
2º
46
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 56 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 55 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 51 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
48% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 45 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 37 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 30 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
11º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
13º
|
64% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 11 |
14º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
37.5% | 55% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37.5% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 12% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falu BS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
SKI
1 - 1
FBS
33%
21%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
FBS
2 - 1
TAB
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
IFF
3 - 2
FBS
14%
17%
69%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FBS
2 - 0
VIK
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OST
2 - 6
FBS
18%
19%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FC Järfälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
FCJ
1 - 1
KUN
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
SKI
0 - 3
FCJ
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2025 |
FCJ
1 - 4
DJU
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCJ
3 - 1
YIK
82%
12%
7%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
TAB
1 - 2
FCJ
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |