Falkirk vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1933 |
FAL
3 - 3
TLA
57%
19%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1933 |
KIL
1 - 1
FAL
60%
18%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1933 |
FAL
2 - 1
GRE
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1933 |
GLA
5 - 1
FAL
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1933 |
HOM
3 - 2
FAL
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1933 |
HOM
6 - 0
STM
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1933 |
AIR
1 - 3
STM
43%
22%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1933 |
STM
1 - 1
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1933 |
STM
3 - 1
AYR
69%
16%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1933 |
MHE
3 - 0
STM
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |