Falkirk vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
CLY
0 - 1
FAL
30%
28%
43%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
BER
1 - 5
FAL
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1998 |
FAL
1 - 0
AYR
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
FAL
0 - 1
AIR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
AYR
1 - 3
FAL
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
STJ
0 - 0
KIL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
STJ
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1998 |
MHE
1 - 0
STJ
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
CEL
2 - 0
STJ
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
STJ
3 - 2
MHE
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |