SPL Round 5

Falkirk vs Partick Thistle analysis

Falkirk Partick Thistle
79 ELO 77
5.3% Tilt 0.7%
436º General ELO ranking 996º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
64.6%
Falkirk
18%
Draw
17.4%
Partick Thistle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
Falkirk
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.4%
Win probability
Partick Thistle
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-1%
+15%
Partick Thistle

ELO progression

Falkirk
Partick Thistle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 1938
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
51%
21%
28%
79 83 4 0
03 Dec. 1938
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
42%
23%
35%
79 69 10 0
26 Nov. 1938
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
65%
17%
19%
79 70 9 0
19 Nov. 1938
TLA
Third Lanark
2 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
50%
20%
30%
79 74 5 0
12 Nov. 1938
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 1
Celtic
CEL
52%
21%
27%
79 83 4 0

Matches

Partick Thistle
Partick Thistle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 1938
PAR
Partick Thistle
3 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
75%
14%
11%
76 63 13 0
03 Dec. 1938
TLA
Third Lanark
2 - 4
Partick Thistle
PAR
59%
20%
21%
75 74 1 +1
26 Nov. 1938
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 4
St. Johnstone
STJ
57%
19%
24%
76 75 1 -1
19 Nov. 1938
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
54%
21%
25%
76 74 2 0
12 Nov. 1938
PAR
Partick Thistle
3 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
67%
18%
15%
75 71 4 +1