SPL Round 26

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock analysis

Falkirk Kilmarnock
71 ELO 76
-3.1% Tilt 1.6%
436º General ELO ranking 529º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
39%
Falkirk
26.2%
Draw
34.8%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.8%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-1%
+2%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2007
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
63%
22%
15%
72 83 11 0
13 Jan. 2007
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
62%
23%
15%
72 64 8 0
01 Jan. 2007
DUN
Dundee United
1 - 5
Falkirk
FAL
46%
26%
28%
71 69 2 +1
30 Dec. 2006
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 1
Inverness CT
ICT
39%
28%
33%
70 76 6 +1
26 Dec. 2006
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
43%
27%
30%
71 69 2 -1

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2007
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Dundee United
DUN
63%
21%
16%
75 67 8 0
15 Jan. 2007
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
40%
25%
35%
75 80 5 0
02 Jan. 2007
CEL
Celtic
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
60%
22%
18%
76 83 7 -1
30 Dec. 2006
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
41%
26%
33%
76 83 7 0
26 Dec. 2006
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
46%
26%
28%
76 79 3 0