SPL Round 3

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock analysis

Falkirk Kilmarnock
69 ELO 82
0.8% Tilt 0.6%
435º General ELO ranking 528º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
26.7%
Falkirk
26.1%
Draw
47.3%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.3%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 1970
DUN
Dundee
1 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
78%
15%
7%
66 82 16 0
26 Sep. 1970
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 3
St. Johnstone
STJ
24%
25%
51%
67 83 16 -1
23 Sep. 1970
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
39%
23%
38%
67 54 13 0
19 Sep. 1970
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 4
Falkirk
FAL
73%
17%
10%
66 80 14 +1
12 Sep. 1970
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
35%
28%
37%
66 78 12 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 1970
KIL
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
53%
24%
23%
83 83 0 0
29 Sep. 1970
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Coleraine
COL
82%
11%
7%
83 68 15 0
26 Sep. 1970
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
19%
29%
52%
83 55 28 0
19 Sep. 1970
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 4
Aberdeen
ABE
52%
24%
24%
83 83 0 0
15 Sep. 1970
COL
Coleraine
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
23%
21%
56%
82 68 14 +1