SPL Round 8

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock analysis

Falkirk Kilmarnock
76 ELO 72
1.1% Tilt -6.4%
436º General ELO ranking 526º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
60.1%
Falkirk
21.1%
Draw
18.8%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
Falkirk
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.8%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 1927
DUN
Dundee
2 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
60%
22%
18%
76 83 7 0
12 Mar. 1927
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
50%
22%
27%
76 78 2 0
26 Feb. 1927
FAL
Falkirk
3 - 3
Clyde
CLY
69%
19%
13%
76 65 11 0
23 Feb. 1927
CEL
Celtic
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
67%
19%
14%
76 83 7 0
12 Feb. 1927
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
51%
22%
27%
76 76 0 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 1927
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 4
Motherwell
MHE
46%
23%
32%
72 80 8 0
05 Mar. 1927
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Queen's Park
QUE
57%
21%
22%
72 71 1 0
26 Feb. 1927
GRE
Greenock Morton
3 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
40%
24%
36%
73 65 8 -1
19 Feb. 1927
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
60%
21%
19%
73 76 3 0
12 Feb. 1927
KIL
Kilmarnock
4 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
39%
25%
37%
71 83 12 +2