Scottish Championship Round 1

Falkirk vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis

Falkirk Dunfermline Athletic FC
64 ELO 65
-10.3% Tilt -6.4%
435º General ELO ranking 1785º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
47%
Falkirk
26.7%
Draw
26.2%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.2%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-2%
-2%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

ELO progression

Falkirk
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2010
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
19%
25%
57%
65 83 18 0
24 Jul. 2010
STI
Stirling Albion
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
45%
24%
31%
65 61 4 0
08 May. 2010
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
55%
24%
22%
65 67 2 0
05 May. 2010
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
St. Johnstone
STJ
27%
26%
47%
65 74 9 0
01 May. 2010
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
40%
28%
32%
65 70 5 0

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2010
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
5 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
71%
18%
11%
65 51 14 0
24 Jul. 2010
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
71%
18%
11%
64 52 12 +1
01 May. 2010
AIR
Airdrieonians
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
38%
27%
35%
64 58 6 0
24 Apr. 2010
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
4 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
66%
20%
14%
63 55 8 +1
17 Apr. 2010
ICT
Inverness CT
2 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
62%
22%
16%
64 70 6 -1