Falkirk vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
3º
1º
56
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 3
FAL
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 2
KHE
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 2
FAL
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FAL
5 - 1
COV
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 7
FAL
17%
23%
60%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 1
HAM
28%
27%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
COV
2 - 3
ALL
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STI
1 - 5
ALL
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 1
BLA
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |