Second Division Round 33

Falkirk vs Airdrieonians analysis

Falkirk Airdrieonians
61 ELO 59
1.1% Tilt 1.5%
436º General ELO ranking 1762º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
45.6%
Falkirk
25.9%
Draw
28.4%
Airdrieonians

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.5%
Win probability
Airdrieonians
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falkirk
-1%
+10%
Airdrieonians

Points and table prediction

Falkirk
Their league position
Airdrieonians
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
57
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dunfermline Athletic FC
79
79
100%
Falkirk
64
65
100%
Airdrieonians
57
58
47.5%
Alloa Athletic
58
58
47.5%
Edinburgh City
51
52
41.5%
Queen of the South
51
52
34%
Montrose
48
51
63.5%
Kelty Hearts
40
41
100%
Clyde
21
21
100%
Peterhead
10º
16
17
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Falkirk
Airdrieonians
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Falkirk
Airdrieonians
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2023
MON
Montrose
1 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
28%
25%
47%
61 52 9 0
08 Apr. 2023
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
34%
27%
39%
60 65 5 +1
01 Apr. 2023
CLY
Clyde
0 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
15%
21%
64%
61 39 22 -1
24 Mar. 2023
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Kelty Hearts
KHE
60%
22%
18%
61 52 9 0
18 Mar. 2023
QOS
Queen of the South
1 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
22%
25%
53%
62 52 10 -1

Matches

Airdrieonians
Airdrieonians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2023
AIR
Airdrieonians
3 - 0
Montrose
MON
65%
20%
15%
59 53 6 0
01 Apr. 2023
ALL
Alloa Athletic
0 - 1
Airdrieonians
AIR
38%
25%
37%
58 55 3 +1
24 Mar. 2023
CLY
Clyde
1 - 5
Airdrieonians
AIR
17%
22%
61%
58 40 18 0
18 Mar. 2023
AIR
Airdrieonians
7 - 0
Peterhead
PET
87%
10%
4%
58 37 21 0
11 Mar. 2023
AIR
Airdrieonians
6 - 1
Kelty Hearts
KHE
54%
23%
24%
57 54 3 +1