Fairford Town FC vs Hereford Lads Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fairford Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FAI
0 - 0
COR
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CRI
4 - 0
FAI
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
FAI
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RGG
2 - 0
FAI
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FAI
2 - 1
THO
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford Lads Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HER
0 - 2
CRI
7%
14%
79%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
HER
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RGG
3 - 1
HER
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
THO
3 - 2
HER
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WOO
3 - 1
HER
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |