Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
FAG
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ROA
0 - 1
FAG
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 0
MAT
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 1
EHI
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
GIF
1 - 1
FAG
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ROA
0 - 1
MAC
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 2
MAT
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
EHI
1 - 1
MAC
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 4
NAG
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
OIT
1 - 3
MAC
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |