FADEP vs Gutiérrez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FADEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
GUT
3 - 0
FAD
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
AGA
1 - 1
FAD
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
FAD
3 - 0
AGA
70%
17%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ICL
1 - 1
FAD
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FAD
1 - 1
ICL
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gutiérrez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
GUT
3 - 0
FAD
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
OGA
0 - 1
GUT
22%
22%
57%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GUT
1 - 0
OGA
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GUT
2 - 1
SMA
53%
26%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
GUT
0 - 0
FAD
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |