National 3 Occitanie. Jor. 17

Fabrègues vs Balma analysis

Fabrègues Balma
28 ELO 31
-6.1% Tilt -8.1%
10046º General ELO ranking 22583º
322º Country ELO ranking 548º
ELO win probability
42.8%
Fabrègues
24.4%
Draw
32.8%
Balma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
Fabrègues
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.8%
Win probability
Balma
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fabrègues
+4%
-3%
Balma

ELO progression

Fabrègues
Balma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fabrègues
Fabrègues
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2021
OLY
Olympique Alès
2 - 0
Fabrègues
FAB
50%
23%
27%
30 32 2 0
14 Feb. 2021
FAB
Fabrègues
4 - 1
Castelnau Le Crès
CAS
75%
15%
10%
30 9 21 0
07 Feb. 2021
FAB
Fabrègues
1 - 0
Onet Le Château
ONE
44%
22%
34%
28 27 1 +2
25 Oct. 2020
FAB
Fabrègues
0 - 3
Olympique Alès
OLY
51%
23%
27%
30 29 1 -2
10 Oct. 2020
BAL
Balma
3 - 1
Fabrègues
FAB
38%
26%
36%
32 32 0 -2

Matches

Balma
Balma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
CAS
Castanet
3 - 1
Balma
BAL
35%
24%
42%
32 27 5 0
10 Oct. 2020
BAL
Balma
3 - 1
Fabrègues
FAB
38%
26%
36%
32 32 0 0
26 Sep. 2020
AGD
Agde
2 - 1
Balma
BAL
46%
25%
30%
32 33 1 0
12 Sep. 2020
BAL
Balma
1 - 0
Blagnac
BLA
49%
25%
26%
32 27 5 0
05 Sep. 2020
TOU
Toulouse II
6 - 1
Balma
BAL
41%
25%
33%
34 31 3 -2
X