UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 4-0
F91 Dudelange vs FC Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
SCO
0 - 2
F91
47%
23%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
F91
0 - 1
DIF
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
JEU
0 - 2
F91
34%
25%
42%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
F91
3 - 4
DIF
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LXC
0 - 1
F91
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
SCO
0 - 2
F91
47%
23%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SJU
3 - 3
SCO
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SCO
2 - 3
SJU
36%
22%
42%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCO
10 - 0
FCE
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 9
SCO
4%
10%
85%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |