Exmouth Town vs Melksham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
47.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exmouth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
KEY
1 - 3
EXM
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
HIG
4 - 2
EXM
41%
23%
37%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
EXM
2 - 0
YAT
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
YAT
2 - 2
EXM
63%
18%
18%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
EXM
2 - 0
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 1
CHI
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MEL
2 - 3
BID
57%
19%
24%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
MEL
3 - 1
BAS
79%
12%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 1
MEL
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
EVE
1 - 0
MEL
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |