Exeter City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
EXE
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
EXE
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
EXE
0 - 0
YEO
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 1
CUM
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GRI
0 - 1
EXE
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 3
SWI
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 3
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
SWI
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 2
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
WYC
3 - 2
SWI
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |