Exeter City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MKD
1 - 1
EXE
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
EXE
2 - 3
CUM
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
YEO
2 - 1
EXE
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
EXE
2 - 0
LEE
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
NOR
3 - 1
EXE
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 0
STO
78%
15%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 1
IPS
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
MKD
0 - 1
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MIL
1 - 1
SOU
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |