Exeter City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BHA
2 - 0
EXE
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
EXE
0 - 1
STO
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MIL
1 - 0
EXE
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
EXE
1 - 1
SOU
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MKD
1 - 1
EXE
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
OLD
0 - 1
NOR
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
LEE
2 - 0
OLD
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
OLD
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
OLD
1 - 0
WAL
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
SWI
4 - 2
OLD
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |