Exeter City vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
EXE
36%
24%
40%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
EXE
2 - 1
BRA
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 1
EXE
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
EXE
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXE
2 - 1
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
LEY
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 1
OLD
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOR
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CAM
3 - 1
NOR
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 1
NOR
28%
26%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |