Exeter City vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
EXE
0 - 2
BOS
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
GUL
1 - 0
EXE
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
HAR
2 - 1
EXE
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
EXE
1 - 1
STF
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 1
EXE
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
KID
2 - 0
GUL
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
CUM
2 - 2
KID
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
KID
1 - 0
BOU
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
KID
1 - 3
OXF
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
KID
3 - 2
BCF
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |