Exeter City vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 2
EXE
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 0
COV
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
EXE
0 - 2
WBA
15%
23%
63%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
EXE
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
EXE
2 - 1
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 0
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
5 - 2
CAM
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
YEO
2 - 0
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |