Exeter City vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 0
EXE
20%
25%
56%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
EXE
3 - 2
ALD
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
EXE
4 - 0
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
GRI
2 - 2
EXE
30%
27%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EXE
2 - 1
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 2
ROC
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 0
GRI
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 0
DAR
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
DAG
0 - 1
DAR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 0
ROT
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |