Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
EXE
3 - 1
WHU
67%
19%
15%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 1
EXE
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
EXE
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
EXE
4 - 0
PLY
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
SCU
3 - 1
EXE
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
4 - 7
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
SWI
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
FOR
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 2
CHE
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |