Exeter City vs Chelsea Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
EXE
2 - 0
STA
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
CRA
3 - 1
EXE
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 0
EXE
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
EXE
2 - 0
GRI
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
EXE
3 - 1
HEY
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
YEO
1 - 1
CHE
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
PLY
2 - 2
CHE
65%
19%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
ALD
2 - 1
CHE
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
OXF
16%
19%
64%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
EXE
3 - 2
CHE
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |