Excursionistas vs Cañuelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
LAF
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 0
DAL
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
FEN
1 - 0
EXC
59%
24%
18%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
ARR
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
LAM
1 - 0
EXC
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cañuelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
LAM
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2008 |
ARM
2 - 2
CAÑ
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
JJU
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
POR
32%
29%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2008 |
LAF
2 - 3
CAÑ
64%
23%
14%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |