Excursionistas vs CA Atlas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 0
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 2
EXC
43%
28%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
CCO
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 0
EXC
40%
28%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CA Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 1
LIN
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MID
0 - 1
CAA
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAA
0 - 1
ESP
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CCO
0 - 1
CAA
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CAA
3 - 0
ITA
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |