Excursionistas vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FEN
1 - 1
EXC
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
CAÑ
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
LAF
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 0
DAL
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
FEN
1 - 0
EXC
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
VSC
1 - 0
ARM
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ARM
1 - 2
FEN
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2008 |
ARM
2 - 2
CAÑ
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
ARM
0 - 1
LAF
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
COL
3 - 1
ARM
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |