Excelsior vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRA
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 1
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
HER
2 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
WIL
0 - 1
PSV
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
VVV
1 - 1
WIL
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 0
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
WIL
4 - 0
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |