Excelsior vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 3
EXC
12%
18%
69%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PSV
1 - 1
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
UTR
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ADO
3 - 3
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 5
VIT
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
5 - 0
GRO
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 0
VIT
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
HER
4 - 1
VIT
31%
24%
46%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |