Excelsior vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
GRO
3 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
ADO
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
GRO
49%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
VIT
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 1
AZA
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
VIT
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
ZWO
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |