Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
73.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
4 - 1
HER
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
6 - 1
TEL
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
VVV
1 - 3
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 1998 |
EXC
0 - 2
GRO
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1998 |
FCD
1 - 0
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
PSV
3 - 3
RJC
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
PSV
2 - 2
SLB
70%
17%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
NAC
3 - 4
PSV
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1998 |
SCH
3 - 3
PSV
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
PSV
2 - 2
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |