Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 1
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 3
AZA
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 2
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 2
SPA
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
NEC
3 - 0
ADO
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NEC
3 - 2
TWE
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRO
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |