Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
50%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
UTR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
RJC
2 - 3
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
RKC
0 - 3
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 2
AZA
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 5
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 3
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRO
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
NEC
4 - 2
SCH
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |