Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
64%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
EXC
0 - 2
ADO
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
GRO
2 - 2
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
SPA
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
NAC
4 - 0
NEC
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
WAG
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 2
RJC
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1980 |
GAE
3 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
NEC
1 - 3
UTR
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |