Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
7 - 1
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
22%
23%
56%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCE
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
MVV
1 - 1
PSV
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
FCO
0 - 1
MVV
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MVV
3 - 2
WIL
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 2
MVV
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
MVV
4 - 1
JON
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |