Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 1
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 2
GRA
31%
23%
46%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
JON
3 - 0
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 2
TEL
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 3
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MVV
0 - 2
GAE
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
ALK
3 - 3
MVV
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
MVV
3 - 0
FCO
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BOS
2 - 0
MVV
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
TEL
1 - 2
MVV
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |