Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 0
ACH
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
VVV
0 - 2
EXC
56%
23%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
5 - 2
EIN
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 1
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MVV
0 - 0
HEL
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 1
MVV
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
VOL
0 - 1
MVV
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
MVV
2 - 2
WIL
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
MVV
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |