Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
FCD
5 - 2
EXC
32%
24%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
BVV
2 - 0
EXC
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
EXC
3 - 3
VVV
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
EXC
3 - 2
FCE
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
HEL
0 - 2
BOS
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
HEL
2 - 3
BVO
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
HFC
4 - 0
HEL
33%
24%
43%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
HEL
2 - 2
ZWO
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
TEL
1 - 1
HEL
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |