Excelsior vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
EXC
4 - 1
FCE
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
ZWO
1 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
EXC
4 - 0
FCD
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
FCO
1 - 2
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
HFC
0 - 4
BVO
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VOL
5 - 0
HFC
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
HFC
1 - 1
FCO
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
HFC
1 - 2
ZWO
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
GRA
4 - 1
HFC
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |