Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
APE
1 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
BOS
0 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
BVV
2 - 1
EXC
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCD
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
MVV
0 - 0
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
GAE
0 - 1
BOS
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
EIN
2 - 1
GAE
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
FCD
5 - 1
GAE
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
GAE
1 - 2
VOL
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 2
GAE
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |