Excelsior vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
EXC
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
FEY
3 - 2
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
UTR
2 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
FEY
3 - 1
WIS
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FEY
3 - 1
ADO
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | +1 |